Will a majority of respondents to this poll correctly guess the majority response to this poll?
@mithrandir @fool These analyses assume everyone performs the same strategy. Whilst this is a better assumption for coöperative than competitive games, it's still not very good; better to use an acausal decision theory that can model agents modelling (and hence predicting) other agents, and the like.
@fool my logic was to take the easiest way: the first option displayed or quickest to click.
Hope to be right when the poll ends.
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